Polymarket bettors have wagered $1.3 million on a US recession by end of 2026, with odds at 30%. JPMorgan puts the ...

Multiple reports reveal that increasing tensions in the Middle East could spell trouble for the economy.

Concerns about an impending US recession are growing due to rising oil prices from the Iran war, a weakening labor market, ...

Polymarket now sees a 28% chance of a U.S. recession by the end of 2026, as odds declined from an earlier high of ~40-45% to ...

People are preparing themselves for the fact that we are already in a recession now or that there is a high likelihood we will soon be in one,” said Hady Farag, a partner and associate director at ...

Recession fears are back, but the outlook is more complicated than a simple yes or no. Here’s what top economists, business ...

This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions is met: 1. The seasonally adjusted annualized percent change in quarterly U.S. real GDP from the previous quarter is less than 0 ...

Given the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, the odds of a U.S. recession have been rising on prediction market platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket. Odds are currently hovering around 30%, although ...

There's a term that keeps showing up in financial news, in economists' Twitter threads, and in worried conversations between ...

Recession risk in the U.S. is climbing on the back of geopolitical conflict, an oil shock, and a constrained Federal Reserve. Oil is above $95 after the Iran conflict disrupted global energy supply, ...

Wall Street has been worried that cybersecurity will be replaced by AI, but Project Glasswing shows that fear is overblown.